dc.contributor |
Sch Biol Sci |
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Rspb Ctr Conservat Sci |
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Polytechnic University Of Madrid |
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Australian Institute Of Marine Science |
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dc.contributor |
Csiro Oceans & Atmosphere |
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dc.contributor |
Biometry & Environm Syst Anal |
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Swiss Fed Res Inst Wsl |
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Sch Sci & Engn |
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Ctr Excellence Environm Decis |
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Dept Plant Sci |
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Oregon State University |
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University Of California Davis |
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University Of Western Australia |
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University Of British Columbia |
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Pacific Rim Natl Pk Reserve |
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dc.contributor |
Ctr Invest Biodiversidade & Recursos |
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dc.contributor |
King Fahd Univ Petr & Minerals |
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Dept Fisheries & Wildlife |
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Univ Grenoble Alpes |
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dc.contributor |
Marine Geomat Res Lab |
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dc.contributor |
Dept Aquat Resources |
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Universite De Savoie |
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Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol |
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University Of California Merced |
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Sch Nat & Environm Sci |
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Commonwealth Scientific & Industrial Research Organisation (csiro) |
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Finnish Environment Institute |
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University Of Adelaide |
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Ifremer |
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University Of The Sunshine Coast |
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Univ Lausanne |
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Mem Univ Newfoundland |
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Newcastle Univ |
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Univ Queensland |
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dc.contributor |
Univ Adelaide |
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dc.contributor |
Oregon State Univ |
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dc.contributor |
Univ British Columbia |
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dc.contributor |
Oceans Inst |
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Parks Canada Agcy |
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dc.contributor |
Inst Francais Rech Exploitat Mer |
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dc.contributor |
L'istituto Per L'ambiente Marino Costiero (iamc-cnr) |
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dc.contributor |
Swedish Univ Agr Sci Slu |
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dc.contributor |
Natl Inst Water & Atmospher Res Niwa |
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dc.contributor |
Universite Grenoble Alpes (uga) |
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dc.contributor |
Geog Dept |
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dc.contributor |
Umr Marbec,ird,ifremer |
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dc.contributor |
Cibio |
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dc.contributor |
Marine Mammal Inst |
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dc.contributor |
Nelson Mandela Univ |
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dc.contributor |
Dept Ocean Sci |
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dc.contributor |
Dept Sistemas & Recursos Nat |
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dc.contributor |
King Fahd University Of Petroleum & Minerals |
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dc.contributor |
University Of California System |
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dc.contributor |
Memorial University Newfoundland |
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Canadian Parks & Wilderness Soc |
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Biodivers Inst |
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University Of Manchester |
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dc.contributor |
Royal Soc Protect Birds |
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University Of Evora |
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dc.contributor |
Biodivers Ctr |
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Griffith Climate Change Response Program |
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dc.contributor |
Lab Ecol Alpine Leca |
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dc.contributor |
Indian Ocean Marine Res Ctr |
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dc.contributor |
Communaute Universite Grenoble Alpes |
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Institut De Recherche Pour Le Developpement (ird) |
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National Institute Of Water & Atmospheric Research (niwa) - New Zealand |
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dc.contributor |
Griffith University |
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dc.contributor |
Mississippi State University |
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University Of Toronto |
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University Of Kansas |
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dc.contributor |
Odum Sch Ecol |
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University Of Salford |
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University Of Georgia |
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dc.contributor |
Swiss Federal Institute For Forest, Snow & Landscape Research |
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Royal Society For Protection Of Birds |
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Dhi |
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Ctr African Conservat Ecol |
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Univ Toronto |
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Oregon University System |
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Plymouth Univ |
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University Of Lausanne |
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Zurich University Of Applied Sciences |
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University Of Freiburg |
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dc.contributor |
Mississippi State Univ |
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Dept Landscape Dynam |
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Univ Western Australia |
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dc.contributor |
Zhaw Zurich Univ Appl Sci |
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dc.contributor |
Sch Math Sci |
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dc.contributor |
Univ Melbourne |
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Duke University |
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dc.contributor |
Univ Evora |
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dc.contributor |
Nicholas Sch Environm |
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dc.contributor |
Wildfowl & Wetlands Trust |
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dc.contributor |
Queensland University Of Technology (qut) |
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dc.contributor |
Res Inst |
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dc.contributor |
Univ Calif Davis |
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Dept Biol |
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Queensland Univ Technol |
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Cnr |
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Univ Politecn Madrid |
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Univ Kansas |
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Univ Calif Merced |
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Inbio |
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University System Of Georgia |
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Univ Sunshine Coast |
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Languedoc-roussillon Universites (comue) |
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Consiglio Nazionale Delle Ricerche (cnr) |
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University Of Queensland |
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dc.contributor |
Dept Ecol & Evolut |
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dc.contributor |
Dept Geog |
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dc.contributor |
Iomrc |
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dc.contributor |
Marine Geospatial Ecol Lab |
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dc.contributor |
Humboldt University Of Berlin |
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University Of Plymouth |
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dc.contributor |
Environm Inst |
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dc.contributor |
Scitech Environm Consulting |
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dc.contributor |
Biol |
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dc.contributor |
Ctr Environm & Water |
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dc.contributor |
Nelson Mandela University |
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dc.contributor |
Inst Resources Environm & Sustainabil |
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dc.contributor |
Finnish Environm Inst |
|
dc.contributor |
Gulf Maine Res Inst |
|
dc.contributor |
Newcastle University - Uk |
|
dc.contributor |
Univ Georgia |
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dc.contributor |
Iamc |
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dc.contributor |
Sch Environm & Life Sci |
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dc.contributor |
Dept Zool |
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dc.contributor |
Sch Biosci |
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dc.contributor |
Duke Univ |
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dc.contributor |
Swedish University Of Agricultural Sciences |
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dc.contributor |
Humboldt Univ |
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dc.contributor |
Sch Biol & Marine Sci |
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dc.contributor |
Dept Biol Sci |
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dc.contributor |
Univ Salford |
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dc.contributor |
Ecol & Environm Dept |
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dc.contributor |
Haworth Conservat Ltd |
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dc.contributor |
Arc Ctr Excellence Math & Stat Frontiers |
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dc.contributor |
Griffith Univ |
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dc.contributor |
Australian Inst Marine Sci |
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dc.contributor |
Cnrs |
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dc.contributor |
University Of Melbourne |
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dc.contributor |
Universite De Montpellier |
|
dc.contributor |
Centre National De La Recherche Scientifique (cnrs) |
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dc.contributor.author |
SEQUEIRA, ANA M. M. |
|
dc.contributor.author |
BOUCHET, PHIL J. |
|
dc.contributor.author |
RANDIN, CHRISTOPHE F. |
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dc.contributor.author |
BAMFORD, ANDREW J. |
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dc.contributor.author |
MARCIA BARBOSA, A. |
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dc.contributor.author |
EMBLING, CLARE B. |
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dc.contributor.author |
GOULD, SUSAN |
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dc.contributor.author |
HALPIN, PATRICK N. |
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dc.contributor.author |
HEINANEN, STEFAN |
|
dc.contributor.author |
LAURIA, VALENTINA |
|
dc.contributor.author |
MELLIN, CAMILLE |
|
dc.contributor.author |
MORMEDE, SOPHIE |
|
dc.contributor.author |
OPPEL, STEFFEN |
|
dc.contributor.author |
RAPACCIUOLO, GIOVANNI |
|
dc.contributor.author |
SCALES, KYLIE L. |
|
dc.contributor.author |
SUNDBLAD, GORAN |
|
dc.contributor.author |
TORRES, LEIGH G. |
|
dc.contributor.author |
WENGER, SETH |
|
dc.contributor.author |
ZURELL, DAMARIS |
|
dc.contributor.author |
YATES, KATHERINE L. |
|
dc.contributor.author |
CALEY, M. JULIAN |
|
dc.contributor.author |
MENGERSEN, KERRIE |
|
dc.contributor.author |
PARNELL, STEPHEN |
|
dc.contributor.author |
FIELDING, ALAN H. |
|
dc.contributor.author |
BAN, STEPHEN |
|
dc.contributor.author |
DORMANN, CARSTEN F. |
|
dc.contributor.author |
ELITH, JANE |
|
dc.contributor.author |
ERVIN, GARY N. |
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dc.contributor.author |
FISHER, REBECCA |
|
dc.contributor.author |
GRAF, ROLAND F. |
|
dc.contributor.author |
GREGR, EDWARD J. |
|
dc.contributor.author |
HEIKKINEN, RISTO K. |
|
dc.contributor.author |
JONES, ALICE R. |
|
dc.contributor.author |
KRISHNAKUMAR, PERIYADAN K. |
|
dc.contributor.author |
LOZANO-MONTES, HECTOR |
|
dc.contributor.author |
MANNOCCI, LAURA |
|
dc.contributor.author |
MESGARAN, MOHSEN B. |
|
dc.contributor.author |
MORENO-AMAT, ELENA |
|
dc.contributor.author |
NOVACZEK, EMILIE |
|
dc.contributor.author |
CRESPO, GUILLERMO ORTUNO |
|
dc.contributor.author |
PETERSON, A. TOWNSEND |
|
dc.contributor.author |
ROBERTS, JASON J. |
|
dc.contributor.author |
ROSS, REBECCA E. |
|
dc.contributor.author |
SCHOEMAN, DAVID |
|
dc.contributor.author |
SNELGROVE, PAUL |
|
dc.contributor.author |
THUILLER, WILFRIED |
|
dc.contributor.author |
VERBRUGGEN, HEROEN |
|
dc.contributor.author |
WANG, LIFEI |
|
dc.contributor.author |
WHITTINGHAM, MARK J. |
|
dc.contributor.author |
ZHARIKOV, YURI |
|
dc.date.accessioned |
2018-11-04T18:59:44Z |
|
dc.date.accessioned |
2018-11-04T18:59:44Z |
|
dc.date.accessioned |
2019-01-07T22:01:21Z |
|
dc.date.available |
2018-11-04T18:59:44Z |
|
dc.date.available |
2018-11-04T18:59:44Z |
|
dc.date.available |
2019-01-07T22:01:21Z |
|
dc.date.issued |
2018-10-01 |
|
dc.identifier.citation |
Yates KL, Bouchet PJ, Caley MJ, Mengersen K, Randin CF, Parnell S, Fielding AH, Bamford AJ, Ban S, Barbosa A, Dormann CF, Elith J, Embling CB, Ervin GN, Fisher R, Gould S, Graf RF, Gregr EJ, Halpin PN, Heikkinen RK, Heinanen S, Jones AR, Krishnakumar PK, Lauria V, Lozano-Montes H, Mannocci L, Mellin C, Mesgaran MB, Moreno-Amat E, Mormede S, Novaczek E, Oppel S, Crespo GO, Peterson AT, Rapacciuolo G, Roberts JJ, Ross RE, Scales KL, Schoeman D, Snelgrove P, Sundblad G, Thuiller W, Torres LG, Verbruggen H, Wang L, Wenger S, Whittingham MJ, Zharikov Y, Zurell D, Sequeira AMM (2018) Outstanding Challenges in the Transferability of Ecological Models. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 33: 790-802 |
|
dc.identifier.issn |
0169-5347 |
|
dc.identifier.uri |
http://epubs.aims.gov.au/11068/14874
|
|
dc.description.abstract |
Predictive models are central to many scientific disciplines and vital for informing management in a rapidly changing world. However, limited understanding of the accuracy and precision of models transferred to novel conditions (their 'transferability') undermines confidence in their predictions. Here, 50 experts identified priority knowledge gaps which, if filled, will most improve model transfers. These are summarized into six technical and six fundamental challenges, which underlie the combined need to intensify research on the determinants of ecological predictability, including species traits and data quality, and develop best practices for transferring models. Of high importance is the identification of a widely applicable set of transferability metrics, with appropriate tools to quantify the sources and impacts of prediction uncertainty under novel conditions. |
|
dc.description.sponsorship |
A.M.M.S. was supported by the Australian Research Council (grant: DE170100841) and an IOMRC (UWA/AIMS/CSIRO) collaborative Postdoctoral Fellowship. P.J.B. received support from the Australian Government's National Environmental Science Programme (NESP). C.M. was supported by the Australian Research Council (grant: DE140100701). D.Z. was supported by the Swiss National Science Foundation (grant: PZ00P3_168136/1) and the German Science Foundation (grant: ZU 361/1-1). J.E. was supported by the Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Environmental Decisions (CE11001000104). S.P. was supported by the USDA (grant: 17-8130-0570-CA) and DEFRA. P.N.H., J.J.R., and L.M. were supported by a US Navy Cooperative Agreement (N62470-15-2-8003). A.R.J. was supported by The Spencer Gulf Ecosystem Development Initiative and the Goyder Institute for Water Research (project number: CA-16-04). A.M.B. was supported by FCT and FEDER/COMPETE 2020 (project: IF/00266/2013/CP1168/CT0001). C.F.D. was supported by the German Science Foundation (grant: DO 786/10-1). We thank all additional participants in the August 2016 IMCC4 symposium on 'Increasing the utility of predictive models: Understanding model transferability', including: Bapu Vaitla, Chris Golden, Mohd Qurban, Kerry Howell, Sara Maxwell, Telmo Morato, Robin Anderson, Pierre Pepin, Stephanie Sardelise. Our thanks also go to Niklaus Zimmermann for contributing initial questions and providing thoughtful input in the early stages of manuscript preparation. We also gratefully acknowledge the constructive comments provided by three anonymous reviewers on a previous version of this manuscript. |
|
dc.language |
English |
|
dc.subject |
Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
|
dc.subject |
Habitat Selection |
|
dc.subject |
Ecology |
|
dc.subject |
Temporal Transferability |
|
dc.subject |
Abundance |
|
dc.subject |
Distributions |
|
dc.subject |
Decision-making |
|
dc.subject |
Genetics & Heredity |
|
dc.subject |
Biotic Interactions |
|
dc.subject |
Evolutionary Biology |
|
dc.subject |
Predictive Models |
|
dc.subject |
Niche |
|
dc.subject |
Species Distribution Models |
|
dc.subject |
Climate-change |
|
dc.title |
Outstanding Challenges in the Transferability of Ecological Models |
|
dc.type |
journal article |
|
dc.identifier.doi |
10.1016/j.tree.2018.08.001 |
|
dc.identifier.wos |
WOS:000447963700008 |
|